Athletico Paranaense vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
ATP
10%
22%
68%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CIA
1 - 0
ATP
9%
21%
70%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 0
SPO
61%
24%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATP
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 1
ATL
59%
25%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
COT
3 - 2
OPE
56%
26%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
TCW
1 - 0
OPE
11%
23%
66%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
OPE
1 - 0
COT
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
OPE
1 - 0
LON
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
OPE
1 - 0
RIO
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | +1 |