Athletico Paranaense vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
ATP
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 1
JUV
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
ATP
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AMF
2 - 0
ATP
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
ATP
15%
24%
61%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 1
GRE
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 0
GRE
72%
17%
12%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
CEA
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 1
COR
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 4
FLA
29%
24%
48%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |