Athletico Paranaense vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 1
ATP
37%
28%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
SCI
1 - 2
ATP
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ATP
0 - 1
AVA
70%
19%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 0
SCI
46%
28%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
ATP
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 1
PAL
17%
25%
59%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
BAH
1 - 1
FOR
58%
24%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 1
FLU
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 0
GOI
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 3
FOR
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |