Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 4-2
Athletico Paranaense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
GOI
2 - 1
ATP
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 1
ATP
30%
28%
42%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
PAL
0 - 2
ATP
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
ATP
2 - 1
LIB
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ATP
4 - 2
BRA
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAH
21%
29%
51%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 2
BAH
24%
29%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
NOV
74%
18%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 2
ATP
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |