Athletico Paranaense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 2
ATP
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FLA
3 - 0
ATP
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 0
PEÑ
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ATP
4 - 2
GRE
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
ATP
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
COR
3 - 1
BAH
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SCI
2 - 0
BAH
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 1
BRA
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
BAH
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BAH
4 - 2
FOR
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |