Athletico Paranaense vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATP
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 2
VAS
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 0
ATP
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 0
SCI
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 1
FLU
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CEA
0 - 1
FLA
31%
26%
42%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
AMF
4 - 1
CEA
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 1
FFL
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATM
1 - 1
CEA
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CEA
3 - 2
COT
31%
27%
43%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |