Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 2-1
Athletico Paranaense vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 3
ATP
21%
28%
52%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
ATP
26%
29%
46%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ATP
1 - 0
AMF
56%
26%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
ATP
4 - 0
AUC
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
ATP
14%
24%
63%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
VIL
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
ATP
26%
29%
46%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
COT
2 - 0
AVA
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
AVA
52%
27%
22%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
CHA
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |