Athletico Paranaense vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
COT
1 - 1
ATP
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 1
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 2
AMF
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 1
CRZ
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATP
61%
22%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ATM
1 - 2
CRZ
31%
25%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
ATM
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
ATM
61%
20%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 3
COR
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
COT
3 - 0
ATM
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |