Atlético Paraná vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
57.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CSE
3 - 2
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 0
GBR
31%
26%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GIM
2 - 3
PAR
69%
22%
9%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
ATT
16%
28%
56%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
DHA
3 - 1
PAR
69%
20%
11%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
GBR
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ATT
3 - 1
INS
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
DAL
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
INS
28%
31%
41%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
INS
0 - 0
CCS
76%
17%
8%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | +1 |