At. Nacional vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 2
ARG
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 2
EQU
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 4
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
MWA
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 4
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ARG
2 - 0
NAC
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
REN
0 - 1
NAC
25%
28%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |