At. Nacional vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 0
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
BUC
0 - 1
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
4 - 1
BUC
64%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 2
MIL
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
JUN
1 - 1
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
JUN
1 - 0
BUC
65%
20%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 0
JUN
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
JUN
2 - 1
MIL
39%
26%
36%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 0
JUN
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
JUN
0 - 4
CAU
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |