Copa Colombia . Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
At. Nacional vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 2
NAC
22%
25%
54%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
PAS
70%
19%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
JUN
3 - 0
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 2
MIL
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
JUN
4 - 2
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
JUN
1 - 2
ONC
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
JUN
25%
29%
47%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
JUN
3 - 0
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
JUN
2 - 0
SFE
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |