At. Nacional vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 2
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
JUN
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
NAC
29%
27%
45%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 2
AGU
36%
28%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 2
JAG
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
JAG
3 - 2
PAT
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 2
JAG
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
JAG
2 - 0
PER
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |