At. Nacional vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 2
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SFE
1 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAT
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
CAL
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
0 - 1
AGU
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 2
TOL
24%
27%
49%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 0
AGU
32%
28%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
AGU
2 - 0
UNI
43%
28%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
PER
2 - 2
AGU
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |