At. Nacional vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
PAT
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
QUI
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 3
NAC
16%
25%
59%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
SFE
0 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 0
AGU
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 2
JAG
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
HUI
0 - 2
AGU
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 0
PAT
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 1
AGU
34%
29%
38%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |