Apertura Playoffs . Final
Global 4-3
At. Nacional vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
JUN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 0
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
BUC
0 - 1
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
4 - 1
BUC
64%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 2
MIL
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 0
ENV
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
IND
0 - 1
TOL
32%
28%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
EQU
1 - 0
TOL
31%
29%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 0
EQU
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 0
IND
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |