At. Nacional vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 3
NAC
16%
25%
59%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
SFE
0 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
MIL
2 - 3
NAC
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
TOL
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 3
BUC
32%
30%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HUI
0 - 0
QUI
42%
28%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 1
AGU
34%
29%
38%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
MIL
2 - 1
QUI
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 0
JAG
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |