At. Nacional vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
PAS
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 1
NAC
34%
29%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CUC
1 - 3
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 2
CAL
57%
25%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
IND
2 - 2
NAC
39%
28%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 2
MIL
31%
27%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
CAL
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
CUC
36%
25%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
JAG
0 - 0
ALI
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |