Atl. Mineiro vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
ATM
0 - 0
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
COR
1 - 2
ATM
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
BOC
0 - 0
ATM
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
AMF
0 - 1
ATM
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 1
FLA
29%
23%
47%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 5
FLA
15%
20%
65%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAH
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
JUV
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 2
BAH
30%
29%
41%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
3 - 4
AMF
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |