Atlético Marte vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ALA
1 - 1
ATL
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 2
VIS
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
6 - 0
BAL
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FAS
3 - 1
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MET
1 - 0
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MUN
1 - 0
FAS
25%
28%
47%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FIR
1 - 0
MUN
55%
26%
20%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MUN
1 - 2
AGU
25%
26%
50%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ALI
3 - 1
MUN
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 2
MUN
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |