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Clausura El Salvador. Segunda Fase, Matchday 4

Atlético Marte Alianza
15 ELO 37
1% Tilt 86%
5943º General ELO ranking 2264º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
21%
Atlético Marte
20.3%
Draw
58.8%
Alianza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
Atlético Marte
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
58.8%
Win probability
Alianza
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%

Basic stats

2
4
GF
4
2
GC
15
37
ELO
1.2
2.2
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Atlético Marte
Their league position
Alianza
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
11º
10º
13
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Municipal Limeño
14
16
20%
Alianza
13
17
21%
FAS
12
18
10%
L.A. Firpo
11
15
10%
Santa Tecla
11
15
14%
Chalatenango
11
18
1%
CD Águila
10
14
13%
Isidro Metapán
10
15
13%
Once Deportivo
9
14
19%
Jocoro
10º
6
8
11º
41%
Atlético Marte
11º
5
9
10º
40%
Sonsonate FC
12º
1
5
12º
85%
Expected probabilities
Atlético Marte
Alianza
Champion
0% 18%
Final season
0% 50%
Mid-table
100% 33%

ELO progression

Atlético Marte
ATL
Alianza
ALI
L.A. Firpo
FIR
Once Deportivo
ONC
Jocoro
JOC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético Marte
Atlético Marte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ATL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2021
JOC
Jocoro
0 - 1
Atlético Marte
ATL
51%
25%
23%
208 378 170 +2
31 Mar. 2021
ATL
Atlético Marte
0 - 1
Once Deportivo
ONC
37%
28%
35%
209 523 -314 -1
20 Mar. 2021
ATL
Atlético Marte
1 - 1
FAS
FAS
39%
28%
33%
209 394 -185 0
14 Mar. 2021
ATL
Atlético Marte
3 - 5
Alianza
ALI
38%
28%
34%
214 574 -360 -2
11 Mar. 2021
SAN
Santa Tecla
1 - 0
Atlético Marte
ATL
53%
25%
22%
216 421 205 -1

Matches

Alianza
Alianza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ALI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2021
ALI
Alianza
1 - 0
L.A. Firpo
FIR
52%
25%
22%
521 282 239 +1
01 Apr. 2021
FAS
FAS
3 - 2
Alianza
ALI
42%
28%
31%
523 394 -129 -2
20 Mar. 2021
JOC
Jocoro
1 - 0
Alianza
ALI
42%
28%
31%
525 379 -146 -2
14 Mar. 2021
ATL
Atlético Marte
3 - 5
Alianza
ALI
38%
28%
34%
574 214 -360 +2
11 Mar. 2021
ALI
Alianza
4 - 0
Chalatenango
CHA
55%
24%
21%
572 199 373 +2