Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-5
Atlético Marbella vs Corralejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Marbella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
AMA
2 - 1
ATH
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
EIB
0 - 0
AMA
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
COR
2 - 0
AMA
29%
30%
42%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
AMA
0 - 1
LEG
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1994 |
RMC
2 - 2
AMA
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Corralejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
COR
0 - 2
CDM
31%
30%
38%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
FUE
3 - 0
COR
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
COR
2 - 0
AMA
29%
30%
42%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
COR
0 - 1
COL
42%
29%
29%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
RMC
6 - 1
COR
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |