Mancha Real vs Lokomotiv Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14%
81.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
13.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MAN
4 - 0
MAR
57%
23%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
RJA
2 - 1
MAN
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 0
MAN
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
POL
0 - 2
MAN
30%
26%
44%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CDT
1 - 0
MAN
35%
27%
38%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
KHI
3 - 2
LOK
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
KRA
5 - 0
LOK
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
BYM
2 - 0
LOK
86%
10%
4%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
LOK
3 - 1
FCR
56%
25%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
LOK
1 - 3
RBS
15%
19%
66%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |