Mancha Real vs CD Rincón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ANT
1 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
CDE
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
COM
0 - 3
MAN
30%
27%
43%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
5 - 0
RIV
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
CD Rincón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CDR
1 - 4
MAL
14%
22%
64%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ALQ
0 - 3
CDR
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CDR
0 - 1
VEL
22%
24%
54%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
CDR
63%
21%
17%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 0
CDR
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |