Atlético vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 3
LIV
28%
25%
47%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCB
28%
25%
47%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
ACM
1 - 2
ATM
36%
27%
38%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
ATM
13%
22%
65%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
GET
1 - 2
ATM
14%
24%
62%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
STR
0 - 1
RSO
23%
25%
52%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 0
MLL
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GET
1 - 1
RSO
18%
25%
56%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 1
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 0
ELC
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |