Atlético vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
UDL
2 - 0
ATM
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 1
SPO
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
ATM
4 - 0
BET
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
HER
1 - 1
ATM
35%
28%
37%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
ATM
3 - 1
OVI
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
RSO
2 - 0
GRA
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1976 |
RSO
2 - 1
CEL
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
FCB
2 - 0
RSO
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
RSO
3 - 2
ATH
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
SLA
1 - 2
RSO
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |