Manchester United vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MUD
2 - 2
ASV
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
MUD
3 - 1
CRY
65%
20%
15%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 4
MUD
7%
18%
75%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
MUD
4 - 0
LIV
13%
20%
67%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CRY
1 - 0
MUD
20%
23%
57%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
ATM
4 - 0
NUM
82%
14%
5%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
RSO
1 - 2
ATM
32%
27%
41%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ATM
1 - 1
SEV
45%
27%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
ELC
0 - 2
ATM
15%
23%
63%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ATM
1 - 0
RMA
21%
23%
56%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |