Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-4
Atlético vs Mallorca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ATM
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1982 |
ATM
1 - 1
SEV
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
VAD
1 - 3
ATM
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
ATM
1 - 0
MER
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 34 | 49 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
ATM
2 - 1
VCF
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
LIN
0 - 0
MLL
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
MLL
2 - 2
REC
58%
25%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
XER
2 - 3
MLL
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
MLL
5 - 1
PBL
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
MLL
1 - 2
ATB
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |