Atlético vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
LEV
2 - 0
ATM
14%
24%
62%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
CHL
1 - 3
ATM
50%
25%
25%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VCF
0 - 1
ATM
29%
26%
45%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
ATM
0 - 0
CHL
49%
24%
27%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 0
ELC
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
MAL
0 - 1
ELC
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GET
1 - 0
MAL
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
MAL
2 - 0
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
ATH
3 - 0
MAL
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAL
4 - 1
GRA
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |