UCL Group D Round 2

Atlético vs Bayern München analysis

Atlético Bayern München
94 ELO 95
-12.8% Tilt -23.3%
General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.4%
Atlético
25.5%
Draw
41.1%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
Atlético
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41.1%
Win probability
Bayern München
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlético
-8%
-2%
Bayern München

ELO progression

Atlético
Bayern München
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético
Atlético
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2016
ATM
Atlético
1 - 0
RC Deportivo
DEP
76%
17%
7%
94 84 10 0
21 Sep. 2016
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 1
Atlético
ATM
84%
11%
5%
94 97 3 0
17 Sep. 2016
ATM
Atlético
5 - 0
Real Sporting
SPO
77%
17%
6%
94 83 11 0
13 Sep. 2016
PSV
PSV
0 - 1
Atlético
ATM
25%
28%
47%
94 86 8 0
10 Sep. 2016
CEL
Celta
0 - 4
Atlético
ATM
29%
29%
42%
93 87 6 +1

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2016
HSV
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
7%
16%
78%
95 82 13 0
21 Sep. 2016
BYM
Bayern München
3 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
77%
15%
8%
95 87 8 0
17 Sep. 2016
BYM
Bayern München
3 - 1
Ingolstadt 04
ING
87%
10%
3%
95 80 15 0
13 Sep. 2016
BYM
Bayern München
5 - 0
FK Rostov
FCR
82%
13%
5%
95 85 10 0
09 Sep. 2016
S04
Schalke 04
0 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
12%
19%
69%
94 86 8 +1