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La Liga. Matchday 8

Atlético vs Barcelona analysis

Atlético Barcelona
92 ELO 97
-24% Tilt 24%
11º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.5%
Atlético
27.4%
Draw
45%
Barcelona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
Atlético
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
45%
Win probability
Barcelona
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Atlético
Their league position
Barcelona
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
8
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Madrid
13
98
99%
Atlético
11
68
14%
Valencia
10
76
18%
R. Sociedad
10
61
6%
Athletic
9
51
11º
6%
Sevilla
8
62
5%
Barcelona
8
80
2%
Osasuna
8
54
5%
Mallorca
8
37
16º
6%
Rayo Vallecano
10º
7
61
5%
Real Betis
11º
6
54
5%
Elche
12º
6
33
18º
6%
Cádiz
13º
5
50
12º
5%
Villarreal
14º
4
38
15º
6%
Levante
15º
4
52
10º
5%
Espanyol
16º
3
36
17º
5%
Granada
17º
3
38
14º
6%
Celta
18º
1
42
13º
5%
Getafe
19º
0
20
19º
9%
Alavés
20º
0
19
20º
8%
Expected probabilities
Atlético
Barcelona
Champion
6% 36%
Champions League
35% 45%
Europa League
5% 3%
Europa Conference League
5% 2%
Mid-table
42% 13%
Relegation
7% 1%

ELO progression

Atlético
ATM
Barcelona
FCB
Valencia
VCF
Granada
GRA
Sevilla
SEV
Liverpool
LIV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético
Atlético
1%
X%
2%
ELO ATM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2021
ATM
Atlético
0 - 0
Athletic
ATH
66%
20%
15%
3259 2553 706 -7
15 Sep. 2021
ATM
Atlético
0 - 0
Porto
FCP
47%
27%
26%
3262 3327 -65 -1
12 Sep. 2021
ESP
Espanyol
1 - 2
Atlético
ATM
17%
21%
62%
3256 1790 -1466 +3
29 Aug. 2021
ATM
Atlético
2 - 2
Villarreal
VIL
60%
22%
18%
3331 2730 601 -7
22 Aug. 2021
ATM
Atlético
1 - 0
Elche
ELC
84%
11%
5%
3329 1641 1688 +1

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO FCB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 1
Granada
GRA
82%
12%
6%
3586 2169 1417 0
14 Sep. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
0 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
53%
26%
22%
3641 3564 77 -52
08 Sep. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 1
AE Prat
PRA
74%
15%
11%
3638 328 3310 0
29 Aug. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 1
Getafe
GET
82%
12%
6%
3711 2351 1360 +2
21 Aug. 2021
ATH
Athletic
1 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
23%
24%
54%
3719 2578 -1141 -7