Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATM
71%
18%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
ATM
4 - 2
CPC
87%
9%
4%
|
84 | 37 | 47 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
ATM
5 - 2
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
CPC
1 - 1
ATM
14%
24%
63%
|
84 | 35 | 49 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
BET
1 - 3
ATM
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
APO
1 - 1
FCB
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
FCB
1 - 1
ZAR
81%
13%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
SEV
0 - 0
FCB
36%
27%
38%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
FCB
8 - 0
APO
89%
7%
3%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
FCB
3 - 0
VAD
81%
13%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |