Atlético vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
MLL
4 - 0
ATM
23%
25%
52%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1962 |
ATM
4 - 0
HIB
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
ATM
3 - 0
OSA
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
CCF
1 - 1
ATM
20%
25%
55%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
ATM
2 - 1
ZAR
77%
14%
10%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
ATH
2 - 0
SEV
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
VCF
2 - 0
ATH
63%
20%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
ATH
3 - 1
OVI
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
VAD
2 - 1
ATH
42%
24%
34%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
ATH
2 - 1
ELC
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |