Atlético vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.9%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 1
NIG
93%
6%
1%
|
94 | 7 | 87 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
CAD
1 - 1
ATM
11%
25%
64%
|
94 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CRO
0 - 2
ATM
16%
26%
58%
|
94 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
ATM
15%
26%
60%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
TOT
0 - 1
ATM
30%
28%
42%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 1
ALA
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ALA
0 - 0
ZAR
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
SEL
0 - 0
ALA
4%
12%
84%
|
74 | 16 | 58 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ALA
1 - 0
SPO
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
RAC
1 - 0
ALA
24%
26%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |