Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/32
Global 5-2
Atlético Huila vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Huila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
HUI
2 - 1
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
HUI
2 - 1
CAR
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 1
HUI
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
COR
1 - 1
HUI
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
HUI
1 - 1
AME
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
TRU
1 - 0
EST
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
YAR
1 - 1
TRU
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ANZ
0 - 2
TRU
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
TRU
1 - 0
MIR
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
TRU
2 - 0
ZUL
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |