At. Estación B vs CD Tolox analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Estación B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CDP
4 - 1
AES
65%
18%
17%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
AES
1 - 0
CDB
45%
21%
33%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
AES
0 - 3
VEL
46%
21%
33%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ALH
3 - 0
AES
67%
17%
16%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AES
0 - 1
ARD
32%
22%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Tolox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 1
ALH
14%
17%
69%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 2
TOL
39%
21%
40%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 0
CDV
43%
21%
36%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CDC
3 - 2
TOL
60%
19%
21%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
JTB
11 - 0
TOL
87%
9%
5%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |