Defensores de la Plata vs Barrio Argentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de la Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
CAD
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAD
0 - 0
AMT
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CJI
1 - 2
CAD
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAD
1 - 1
AND
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAD
36%
22%
43%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Barrio Argentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AMT
0 - 0
BAR
45%
21%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
CJI
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AND
4 - 0
BAR
58%
21%
22%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAR
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAD
36%
22%
43%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |