Defensores de la Plata vs Juventud Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de la Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
AND
1 - 1
CAD
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CAD
4 - 0
BAR
53%
21%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
CAD
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAD
0 - 0
AMT
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CJI
1 - 2
CAD
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CJI
2 - 2
CAR
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CJI
1 - 3
AND
38%
23%
40%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
CJI
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CJI
1 - 2
CAD
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
AMT
2 - 3
CJI
48%
21%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |