Atlético Cruceño vs Aroche CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cruceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
MOG
3 - 1
CRU
35%
25%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CRU
3 - 0
COR
62%
21%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UDP
0 - 2
CRU
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 2
AYA
15%
21%
64%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LOS
1 - 1
CRU
48%
23%
30%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 0
BOL
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ZAL
0 - 0
ARO
35%
23%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ARO
3 - 1
CAN
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 4
ARO
52%
22%
25%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ARO
2 - 2
OCF
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |