Ascenso Panama . Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Atl. Chiriquí II vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
VCD
2 - 1
ACH
31%
25%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 1
HFC
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
AFM
1 - 0
ACH
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 0
SAP
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CDU
1 - 3
ACH
30%
22%
48%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
SFF
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
UDP
1 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 3
IDC
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
OES
0 - 2
NAC
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
UFC
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | +1 |