LPF Ascenso Clausura . Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Atl. Chiriquí II vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
ACH
1 - 4
SAP
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
VCD
2 - 3
ACH
26%
24%
49%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ACH
3 - 1
CDU
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ACH
3 - 1
HFC
61%
22%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
AFM
2 - 0
ACH
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
IDC
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
UFC
1 - 2
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
UDP
2 - 2
NAC
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
SFF
68%
19%
12%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
OES
3 - 0
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |