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Apertura El Salvador. Matchday 18

Atlético Balboa vs UES analysis

Atlético Balboa UES
18 ELO 27
33% Tilt -26%
7047º General ELO ranking 7054º
14º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
62.9%
Atlético Balboa
21.9%
Draw
15.2%
UES

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
Atlético Balboa
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.2%
Win probability
UES
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlético Balboa
+6%
+13%
UES

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Isidro Metapán
34
34
100%
Alianza
33
33
100%
L.A. Firpo
31
31
50%
CD Águila
31
31
50%
Atlético Balboa
29
29
100%
Vista Hermosa
18
18
100%
Atlético Marte
17
17
50%
FAS
17
17
50%
UES
16
16
100%
Once Deportivo
10º
14
14
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Atlético Balboa
UES
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Atlético Balboa
BAL
UES
UES
Once Deportivo
ONC
Atlético Marte
ATL
Isidro Metapán
MET
CD Águila
AGU
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético Balboa
Atlético Balboa
1%
X%
2%
ELO BAL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2010
AGU
CD Águila
2 - 0
Atlético Balboa
BAL
47%
27%
26%
248 395 147 -2
14 Nov. 2010
ALI
Alianza
0 - 0
Atlético Balboa
BAL
47%
27%
26%
248 292 44 0
10 Nov. 2010
BAL
Atlético Balboa
1 - 1
FAS
FAS
39%
28%
33%
248 427 -179 0
07 Nov. 2010
BAL
Atlético Balboa
2 - 0
L.A. Firpo
FIR
39%
28%
33%
245 433 -188 +3
04 Nov. 2010
FAS
FAS
0 - 1
Atlético Balboa
BAL
53%
25%
22%
243 432 189 +2

Matches

UES
UES
1%
X%
2%
ELO UES ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2010
UES
UES
3 - 1
Isidro Metapán
MET
46%
27%
28%
341 407 -66 +3
14 Nov. 2010
FAS
FAS
2 - 2
UES
UES
47%
27%
26%
341 427 86 0
11 Nov. 2010
UES
UES
0 - 0
CD Águila
AGU
46%
27%
28%
341 398 -57 0
07 Nov. 2010
UES
UES
1 - 2
Alianza
ALI
46%
27%
26%
343 288 55 -2
30 Oct. 2010
FIR
L.A. Firpo
1 - 0
UES
UES
47%
27%
26%
345 431 86 -2