Atl. Astorga vs DiocesÁvila - UCAV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CFS
1 - 2
AST
31%
27%
42%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
AST
0 - 1
CAB
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 1
AST
28%
26%
46%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AST
0 - 1
SDA
69%
18%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
AST
1 - 1
UDL
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
DiocesÁvila - UCAV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
CIU
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NUM
2 - 0
COL
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
COL
1 - 4
STM
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LVC
1 - 0
COL
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
COL
2 - 0
BAÑ
58%
21%
20%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |