Atl. Astorga vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CUL
0 - 0
AST
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AST
0 - 1
VAL
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SOM
1 - 1
AST
49%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AST
0 - 0
PON
49%
26%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SPB
0 - 1
AST
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 1
RAC
17%
25%
59%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
COX
0 - 2
BUR
47%
27%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 0
RCF
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
BUR
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 1
LEA
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |