Itararé vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itararé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 3
AAI
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
AAI
4 - 2
ELO
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
AAI
2 - 3
IND
34%
25%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
AAI
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
AAI
2 - 0
UNI
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 2
ELO
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
IND
2 - 1
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 0
RIO
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
AAI
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ELO
0 - 4
RIO
14%
19%
68%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |