Atlanta vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
ATL
21%
27%
51%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
BAR
43%
28%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
RIE
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
EST
2 - 2
ATL
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 1
COM
53%
25%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 1
VSC
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 1
ALM
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 1
VSC
33%
29%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 1
FEN
46%
26%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |