Atlanta vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 0
ATL
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 1
MIT
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
ATL
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 2
IRV
35%
28%
38%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 3
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
INS
1 - 0
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 4
INS
18%
26%
56%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
INS
0 - 0
RAF
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
GBR
2 - 0
INS
31%
29%
41%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
INS
3 - 0
SUA
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |