Atlanta vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
UAI
0 - 1
ATL
21%
27%
52%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
ARM
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
RIE
0 - 2
ATL
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAR
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
VSC
3 - 3
ATL
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
STM
1 - 1
ALM
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 2
UAI
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 0
ALM
36%
28%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 2
RIE
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
ALM
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |