Atlanta United vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 0
LAN
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
COC
2 - 3
AFC
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
AFC
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ORL
3 - 2
AFC
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 1
COC
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 2
NER
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 2
NYC
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
PHU
3 - 0
TOR
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
NSC
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
CFS
1 - 2
TOR
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |