Athlone Town vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
9º
3º
30
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 74 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 57 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 56 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 51 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 51 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 43 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 27 |
9º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 25 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
86.5% | 53% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 47% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
3 - 0
ATH
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
TRE
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CAO
1 - 0
ATH
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 3
LON
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
DRO
4 - 0
ATH
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
UCD
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
2 - 0
BRW
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
FIN
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
FIN
0 - 0
KEF
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
WEX
1 - 2
FIN
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |